ERIC Number: ED229577
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1983
Reference Count: N/A
National Occupational Projections for Voc Ed Planning. Information Series No. 252.
Rosenthal, Neal H.; Pilot, Michael
Intended to foster greater understanding of employment projections available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), this paper describes their development, their limitations, their use, and publication details. The methods used to develop BLS occupational employment projections are first described: projection of the labor force based on population projections by age, sex, and race; projections on the state of the general economy and on industry employment; and use of an industry-occupational matrix to convert industry employment figures that show the proportion of total employment in each industry by occupation. Assumptions upon which the data are based are discussed, and these factors that cause imprecise projections are cited: imperfect statistics, business cycles, political and social events, analytical judgments, and geographical differences. Uses of projections information by counselors, educators, and others who help people choose a field of work are considered as well as uses by national, state, and local officials who plan education and training programs. Information is provided about the format, purpose, and frequency of the BLS publications that are sources of occupational projections data. A recommendations section urges vocational educators to use and report their satisfaction with occupational projections data in program planning. (YLB)
Descriptors: Demography, Educational Planning, Employment Patterns, Employment Projections, Employment Statistics, Industry, Information Utilization, Job Training, Labor Needs, Occupations, Program Development, Statistical Data, Vocational Education
National Center Publications, The Ohio State University, 1960 Kenny Road, Columbus, OH 43210 (Order No. IN252).
Publication Type: Information Analyses; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Office of Vocational and Adult Education (ED), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Ohio State Univ., Columbus. National Center for Research in Vocational Education.