ERIC Number: ED212524
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1981-Jan
Reference Count: N/A
The Global 2000 Report to the President. Volume Three. Documentation on the Government's Global Sectoral Models: The Government's "Global Model."
Barney, Gerald O., Ed.
The third volume of the Global 2000 study presents basic information ("documentation") on the long-term sectoral models used by the U.S. government to project global trends in population, resources, and the environment. Its threefold purposes are: (1) to present all this basic information in a single volume, (2) to provide an explanation, in the words of the agencies and institutions themselves, of the structure of their models and the purposes for which their models were developed, and (3) to give a general sense of the individual sectoral models and the array of their documentation. Population, gross national product, climate, food, nonfuel minerals, and energy are the sectors focused on in this document. Inclusion was based on the fact that these projection areas used formalized methodologies and analytical models. As a result of this study, government data and models have been evaluated and weaknesses identified. Further, experts responsible for language analysis and modeling have been brought together to exchange knowledge and perspectives on global trends and to begin developing the capacity to produce interactive internally consistent projections. It has set the foundation for the construction of the type of foresight capability needed by the United States in the decades ahead. (NE)
Descriptors: Climate, Documentation, Energy, Environment, Food, Futures (of Society), Global Approach, Models, Natural Resources, Population Growth, Prediction
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402 (Stock Number 041-011-00051-3, $8.00).
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Council on Environmental Quality, Washington, DC.; Department of State, Washington, DC.