ERIC Number: ED210990
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1980-Sep-30
Reference Count: N/A
Report of the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee to the Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services. Volume 1: Summary.
Health Resources Administration (DHHS/PHS), Hyattsville Md. Office of Graduate Medical Education.
Results of a three-year study to estimate the future supply and requirements for physicians, which was conducted by the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC), are summarized. The research methodology, which consisted of three mathematical models to project physician supply and requirements, is described, and 40 recommendations to solve health manpower problems of 1990-2000 are presented. Additionally, federal government private commission initiatives from 1955 through 1980 to deal with health manpower problems are considered, and the function of GMENAC technical panels are addressed. The findings indicate the following: there will be 70,000 more physicians than required in 1990; most specialties will have a surplus; some specialties will be in balance (e.g., osteopathic general practice, family practice, general internal medicine, and general pediatrics); shortages will be experienced in psychiatry, physical medicine and rehabilitation, and emergency medicine; and valid criteria for designating geographic areas as adequately served or underserved have not been developed. Among the approaches GMENAC recommends are the following: a 17 percent decrease in U.S. medical school enrollment compared to current levels; sharp restrictions of the entry into the United States of students from foreign medical schools; no further rise in the number of physician health care providers being trained; and prompt adjustments in the number of residency training positions in individual specialties to bring supply into balance with requirements in the 1990s. (SW)
Descriptors: Advisory Committees, Employment Projections, Foreign Medical Graduates, Futures (of Society), Graduate Medical Education, Higher Education, Labor Needs, Labor Supply, Mathematical Models, Medical Schools, Medicine, Needs Assessment, Physicians, Position Papers, Predictive Measurement, Specialization, Technical Assistance
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402.
Publication Type: Reports - Evaluative; Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Health Resources Administration (DHHS/PHS), Hyattsville Md. Office of Graduate Medical Education.