ERIC Number: ED207622
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1981
Population and Enrollment Projections. Analytical Studies Research Report[s], 81-1 [and] 81-5.
These two reports from the Maricopa County Community College District (MCCCD) present population projections for the MCCCD service area and enrollment projections for the district and its seven individual colleges. The first report reviews enrollment increases over the past decade and presents fall 1980 figures as a background for examining county population projections. The report reviews projections from six sources and discusses the implications for MCCCD of in-migration, an increase in the birth rate in the county, and a population shift from older, central city regions to growth areas in the northwest and southeast parts of the county. Data tables are provided in the report. The second report presents the full-time student equivalent (FTSE) and headcount enrollment for the district and its colleges from 1971-72 through 1980-81. Additionally, this report provides two sets of FTSE and headcount projections for the period 1981 through 1985. One set is based on the enrollment pattern of the previous ten years (1971 through 1980), while the other is based on a five-year pattern (1976 through 1980). Projection variations occasioned by differences in the two base patterns are summarized and discussed. For example, using the ten-year base pattern, growth was predicted to total 1050 FTSE; however, when the five-year pattern was used, growth was predicted to total 419 FTSE. The second report also contains graphs and data tables. (KL)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Numerical/Quantitative Data
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Maricopa County Community Coll. District, Phoenix, AZ. Office of Educational Development.