ERIC Number: ED202272
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1979-Feb
American Higher Education to 1985.
Edwards, J. M. B.
Projections concerning higher education from 1975 to 1985 are offered in relation to: job opportunities for persons with postsecondary education, postsecondary enrollment levels, the finances of postsecondary institutions, and job opportunities for Ph.D.s as full-time faculty members. It is suggested that the evidence points to difficulties of absorbing college graduates into professional and managerial jobs, or jobs believed to be suitable for graduates. It is proposed that graduates will find their education increasingly less relevant to their work. According to estimates for 1984-85, overall full-time equivalent college enrollment will be about the same as in 1975 (high estimate) or will decline by about 14 percent (low estimate); enrollment will have decreased slightly in the private sector and increased slightly in the public sector (high estimate), or the private sector will lose about 28 percent of its students and the public sector about 10 percent (low estimate); the ratio of graduate to undergraduate students will be the highest in history (high and low estimates). High and low estimates are presented for tuition and fees, state and local appropriations, student aid, and income from endowment and gifts. Among the projections are the following: costs per full-time equivalent student will be 40 percent higher in the private than in the public sector in 1985, and tuitions will rise between 37 percent (low growth) and 45 percent (high growth) from 1975 to 1985. It is suggested that if the low projection of enrollments materializes, the number of full-time faculty will decline by about 9 percent from 1975 to 1980 and by about 5 percent from 1980 to 1985. Additionally, an attempt is made to define policy issues and to suggest possible strategies for higher education in the 1980s. (SW)
Descriptors: College Faculty, College Graduates, Education Work Relationship, Educational Finance, Educational Policy, Employment Opportunities, Enrollment Projections, Full Time Faculty, Futures (of Society), Higher Education, Labor Market, Private Colleges, State Colleges, Teacher Supply and Demand
Publication Type: Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Froomkin (Joseph) Inc., Washington, DC.; Educational Policy Research Center for Higher Education and Society, Washington, DC.