ERIC Number: ED201792
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1981-Jan
Vocational Education: A Look into the Future. Research and Development No. 207.
Ruff, Richard; And Others
This study of possible futures for vocational education (the second year of a two-year study) is designed to be of help to those who have the responsibility to set directions for vocational education. It is an attempt to isolate and analyze the factors that are likely to influence the field in the 1980s and to suggest the kinds of decisions that might bring about desirable future events or conditions. By synthesizing the trends, events, and issues likely to influence vocational education in the 1980s, a standard world scenario for vocational education in 1990 and two alternative scenarios were created, using much of the data from work conducted during the first year of the project. During this second year, two main activities were carried out: a cross-impact study was conducted, and three scenarios were developed. The cross-impact analysis attempted to estimate the effect of a given event, trend, or federal policy initiative upon federal vocational education policy initiatives. Data generated by the cross-impact study, as well as year-one data, were used to create the standard world scenario and its two variations. In general, the scenarios indicate that vocational education in this decade will probably become a more diverse enterprise with regard to the characteristics of its clients, the kinds of services it delivers, and the methods it employs to deliver its services. (KC)
Descriptors: Educational Needs, Educational Planning, Federal Regulation, Futures (of Society), Long Range Planning, Models, Needs, Planning, Policy Formation, Postsecondary Education, Secondary Education, Social Change, Trend Analysis, Vocational Education
The National Center for Research in Vocational Education, National Center Publications Office, Box F, The Ohio State University, 1960 Kenny Rd., Columbus, OH 43210 (RD 207, $5.50; discounts available for quantity orders).
Publication Type: Information Analyses; Opinion Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Office of Vocational and Adult Education (ED), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Ohio State Univ., Columbus. National Center for Research in Vocational Education.
Note: For related documents see ED 189 370 and ED 195 825.