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ERIC Number: ED175941
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1979-Apr
Pages: 22
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
Prediction of Pass/Fail on a Certifying Examination Using Discriminant Analysis with Cross Validation.
Veloski, Jon
Discriminant analysis was used to predict the performance of medical students on a certifying examination, using available measures approximately seven months in advance of the examination. The purpose was to identify those students having the greatest chance of failing in order to provide them with remedial help. The linear discriminant function was derived based upon the historical performance of three classes of students, and the model was cross-validated on two subsequent classes. Although the criterion established for determining the success of the predictive model was met in the first validation, it was not met in the second. (Recommendations for revisions of the model and the importance of cross validation are discussed). (Author/MH)
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A