ERIC Number: ED172867
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1979-Jun
Projections of High School Graduates in the West.
McConnell, William R.
Individual state projections of the number of public high school graduates from 1979 through 1995 are presented for each of thirteen western states--Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. For each state, a four-page section presents detailed historical data, including annual birth patterns, population migration statistics, and rates of student persistence in high school--major factors underlying the projections. Detailed enrollment projections are presented, along with analytical tables, and a comprehensive cohort graph. A brief written explanation accompanies each state section. A description of the report methodology is presented separately. The projections for each state (except Wyoming) show a common pattern including the following elements: (1) a peak in enrollments between 1975 and 1982, (2) a significant decrease from that peak to a low point in the 1984-86 period, (3) an increase until 1988 or 1989, (4) a decrease to another low point in 1990 or 1991, and (5) an increase to 1995, the last year of the projection. This basic pattern is the same as that for the country as a whole. However, in the West, projected graduates remain below the 1979 peak throughout the projection period but not nearly so far below as for the United States as a whole. (DR)
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Boulder, CO.
Note: Tables may not reproduce well due to small size of type