ERIC Number: ED162903
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1977-Feb
Reference Count: 0
Aviation Futures to the Year 2000.
Urban Systems Research and Engineering, Inc., Cambridge, MA.; Futures Group, Glastonbury, CT.
This document describes five alternative scenarios which present various conditions that may exist in the United States from now to the year 2000, and which would be important in shaping demand for air transportation. Each scenario describes the potential evolution of various socioeconomic conditions, along with a projection of the amount and type of air transportation likely to exist under those conditions. The key variables that come into play in the scenarios are the gross national product, population, business productivity, the unemployment rate, the cost of domestic crude oil, operations at towered airports, enplaned passengers, total revenue passenger miles, air cargo, and jet fuel consumption. The five scenarios used in the study are the limited growth scenario, the expansive growth scenario, individual affluence, muddling through, and the resource allocation scenarios. (Author/BB)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Federal Aviation Administration (DOT), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Urban Systems Research and Engineering, Inc., Cambridge, MA.; Futures Group, Glastonbury, CT.
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