ERIC Number: ED162436
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1971-Nov
Reference Count: N/A
Predicting School Populations.
Smith, P. J.; Groom, K. N.
This system for predicting enrollment in the London Borough of Bromley was first developed for the Hertfordshire County Council and was modified to fit the unique situation in Bromley, including high mobility of the population and high proportion of children in private schools. The system divides the borough into 207 zones and produces forecasts for each zone for each of the next seven years. The forecasts show the age of each pupil, sex, and whether Roman Catholic. To make predictions, information is collected and analyzed on housing development in the area, immigration into new houses, migration of the population, and private school children. Additional forecasts are made of children outside the borough who may need places in schools within the borough. Each year the system and forecasts are updated. The main features of the forecasting system and the procedures involved in applying it are described. (Author/JM)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Royal Inst. of Public Administration, Reading (England). Local Government Operational Research Unit.
Identifiers - Location: United Kingdom (London)