ERIC Number: ED160394
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1978-Feb
Reference Count: 0
Climate Change to the Year 2000: A Survey of Expert Opinion.
Institute for the Future, Menlo Park, CA.; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (DOC), Rockville, MD.; National Defense Univ., Washington, DC.; Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
This survey of expert opinion was conducted by the National Defense University, Washington, D.C. to quantify the likelihood of significant changes in climate and their practical consequences. The major objectives of the study are embodied in four tasks. This publication presents the results of the first task only: the definition and estimation of the likelihood of climate changes during the next 25 years, and the construction of climate scenarios of the year 2000. It includes an abstract, foreword, summary, three chapters and four appendices. Chapter one describes the methodology used in analyzing the information collected. Chapter two contains narrative and statistical descriptions of five climate scenarios, ranging from large global cooling to large global warming. Chapter three summarizes the aggregated probabilistic data of the climate panelists and compares these data from scenario to scenario, across latitudinal zones, and across three time periods between now and the year 2000. (Author/HM)
Descriptors: Climate, Climate Control, Earth Science, Global Approach, Higher Education, Meteorology, Natural Sciences, Research, Research Methodology, Science Education
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 (Stock Number 008-020-00738-2; No price quoted)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Advanced Research Projects Agency (DOD), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Institute for the Future, Menlo Park, CA.; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (DOC), Rockville, MD.; National Defense Univ., Washington, DC.; Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
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