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ERIC Number: ED157777
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1978-Jun
Pages: 44
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
Population Bulletin, Vol. 33, No. 3. What Will a ZPG Society Be Like?
Day, Lincoln H.
This Bulletin explores the implications of a population with essentially zero growth and an unchanging, or stationary, age-sex structure--a likely prospect for at least the approximately 26 countries, containing a quarter of the world's population, who were at or below replacement level fertility by early 1978. The only certain demographic characteristics of such a population are seen to be a nearly balanced sex ration and an older age distribution, assuming that low mortality continues. The possible implications of this older, non-growing population are discussed with regard to health, economic conditions, education, status succession, the place of women, private and social behavior, personality, and creativity, and the provision of social security and public programs. The author warns that non-demographic factors, many of them now unforeseeable, and the absolute size of a population, once stationary, could affect social conditions for more than the age-sex structure characteristic of such a population. Nonetheless, he concludes that, to the extent that population structure itself determines social conditions, the concomitants of a stationary population are far more likely to be desirable than undesirable--both for the society and for the individual. (Author/MA)
Circulation Department, Population Reference Bureau, Inc., 1337 Connecticut Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 ($1.50 ea., Discounts on quantity orders)
Publication Type: Journal Articles
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Population Reference Bureau, Inc., Washington, DC.