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ERIC Number: ED140922
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1976-Oct
Pages: 73
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
Tentative Ten-Year Enrollment Projections, Fiscal Years 1978-1987. (A Supplement to the FY 1978 Capital and Operating Budgets of Montgomery Community College)
Gell, Robert L.; Armstrong, David F.
The number of students expected to enroll in Montgomery College yearly through 1987 is projected on the basis of a model incorporating past trends, population projections, economic indicators, and other factors on which viable assumptions about the future can be based, into a system of linear equations expressed in matrix notation. The model utilizes existing population projections for population sub-groups which constitute distinct segments of the total student body (high school graduation projections, county population projections, etc.). These projections are modified by factors representing past experience of enrollment rates for each segment and the effects of reasonable anticipated changes not reflected in past history, such as the expected effects of policy decisions, on each segment. Projections of expected enrollment are obtained for the following segments, which are discussed separately: (1) recent county high school graduates, including early and delayed enrollees, (2) out-of-county Maryland students, (3) out-of-state or non-resident students, (4) matriculated returning students, and (5) county residents expected to enroll as non-matriculated students. The model is easily expandable to accomodate new information and consideration of new sources of students as they are identified. Extensive tables and graphs are included. (RT)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Montgomery Coll., Rockville, MD. Office of Institutional Research.
Note: Some tables in appendices may reproduce poorly