ERIC Number: ED132938
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1976-Aug
Reference Count: 0
Life Cycles, Educational Attainment and Labor Markets.
Winsborough, H.H., Sweet, J.A.
Two social changes are cited as particularly important to the projection of college enrollment trends. One is the rising educational attainment of the parents of future potential college attenders; the other is the fact that declines in fertility accompany declines in average family size. Overall, the illustration in this paper suggests that the decline in enrollment due to the decline in birthrates may be cushioned by increases in the proportion of a birth cohort attending college due to rising parental education and declining parity. How much of that cushion will be destroyed due to declining relative wages of college attenders operating through changing cohort parameters is not clear. The results of the analysis are interpreted to mean that there are some farily substantial contemporary sociodemographic trends that influence educational attainment and are rather separate from changes in the relative wages of the more highly educated. In the past these sociodemographic changes have accounted for the majority of the change in college attendance and their future change is likely to impact attendance fairly considerably. (Author/LBH)
Descriptors: Birth Rate, Cohort Analysis, College Students, Declining Enrollment, Demography, Educational Attainment, Employment Opportunities, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Projections, Family Financial Resources, Higher Education, Labor Market, Parent Education, Socioeconomic Influences, Wages
University of Wisconsin, Institute for Research on Poverty, Madison, Wisconsin
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Wisconsin Univ., Madison. Inst. for Research on Poverty.
Note: Paper presented in the "Educational Attainments and the Labor Market: Reciprocal Effects" session of the Meetings of the American Sociological Association (New York, New York, August 1976)