ERIC Number: ED126246
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1976-Jun
Reference Count: N/A
Selection and Classification Using a Forecast Applicant Pool.
Hendrix, William H.
The document presents a forecast model of the future Air Force applicant pool. By forecasting applicants' quality (means and standard deviations of aptitude scores) and quantity (total number of applicants), a potential enlistee could be compared to the forecasted pool. The data used to develop the model consisted of means, standard deviation, and total number of applicants taking the Airman Qualifying Examination for entry into the Air Force during 1971-74. Data from the first two years were used to develop the model, and data from the last two years were used to test the accuracy of the model by forecasting each month over the last two-year period. The research data indicated that the forecast model provides an accurate forecasting technique for aptitude means and standard deviation. However, in forecasting the total number of applicants by month, the technique is less adequate. (Author/EC)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Air Force Human Resources Lab., Brooks AFB, TX.
Authoring Institution: Air Force Human Resources Lab., Brooks AFB, TX. Occupational and Manpower Research Div.