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ERIC Number: ED093800
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1974-Apr
Pages: 109
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
"DEP'ART." Un Modele de Prevision des Departs des Enseignants. Documents Demographie Scolaire 9-16 ("DEP'ART." A Model for Predicting Teacher Attrition. Scholastic Demographic Document 9-16).
Meublat, Guy
This document forms part of a research project initiated by the Ministry of Education in Quebec and designed to forecast teacher demand over the next 15 years. It analyzes the problem of identifying potential teacher dropouts by means of a statistical model which provides simulations of various hypotheses and which can be easily revised by the incorporation of new data. The observation period covered the four academic years 1967/68, 1968/69, and 1970/71. Chapter one provides the framework on which the model was constructed and includes statistics for three major categories: public and private sectors; nursery, elementary, secondary, and college levels; and sex. Other variables considered include professional training, matrimonial status, age, experience, religious affiliation of school, and type of region (urban or rural). Chapter two describes the development of the model, using age as the significant variable. Chapter three sets out the results obtained from the model and their application to future plans. Data used in the research project are included in the document. (MBM)
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Quebec Dept. of Education, Quebec.
Identifiers - Location: Canada