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ERIC Number: ED089659
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1973-Apr-27
Reference Count: 0
Forecast For Library/Information Service Technology.
Various predictions are being made about the future of library technology, but many of these are "paper dragons"--exciting and plausible, but made without real consideration of need or of the possibility of implementation. A review of many such forecasts makes it possible to develop criteria for a logical and credible prediction: technical feasibility, practicality, social feasibility, economic feasibility, and moderation in statement. This is not to say that forecasts should not be made, especially where technical feasibility is concerned, for the past twenty years has shown just how fast technology can progress. Predictions can be made in such areas as the solution of the photocopy/copyright problem, standardization of bibliographic control and improved microform usage. The technology for these advances already exists, the needed developments are sociological, involving cooperation, user acceptance, and the designing of new procedures. Indeed, the greatest advances in library/information technology during the next twenty years may not come from new technologies at all, but from better applications of the technologies that already exist. (SL)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC. Libraries.
Note: Speech given at Symposium IV, American Society for Information Science (2nd, mid-year regional conference, Bloomington, Minnesota, April 27, 1973)