ERIC Number: ED088423
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1973-Nov
Reference Count: N/A
Individualized Course Completion Time Predictions: Development of Instruments and Techniques.
Wagner, Harold; And Others
Research was undertaken to develop a system for predicting completion time in a self-paced training course. The hypotheses were developed that: 1) course content-related instruments would be better predictors of completion time than general aptitude measures; and that 2) a linear predictive function would provide the best description of the relationship between predictor variables and completion time criteria. A predictive test battery which consisted primarily of content-related tests and mini-lessons that were directly associated with a training course, proved to be better than general aptitude measures for predicting course completion time; a strong linear relationship was found between predictors and completion time criteria. Step-wise linear regression analyses were used to develop predictive functions and to determine potentially useful predictors. Computer programs and nomographs were constructed to display the predictive equations and were recommended for use. Since there were significant inter-group differences in learning rates depending on the media used, the development of media-specific predictive equations was recommended. (Author/PB)
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Instruction, Computer Programs, Educational Research, Individual Instruction, Individualized Programs, Job Training, Measurement Instruments, Measurement Techniques, Military Training, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Programed Instruction, Teaching Machines, Test Construction, Time Factors (Learning), Training
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Army Research Inst. for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, Arlington, VA.
Authoring Institution: Human Resources Research Organization, Alexandria, VA.