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ERIC Number: ED083932
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1973-Jul-24
Pages: 106
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
A Student Flow Model for Projection of Enrollment in a Multi-Campus University.
Tallman, B. M.; Newton, R. D.
This report is concerned with the development of a model for projecting the enrollments of The Pennsylvania State University by simulating the flow of students through the campuses and colleges of which the institution is composed. Because it concerns a twenty-two campus system of a single university, it not only constitutes an institutional application but also represents a prototype of a state-system of higher education. Markovian in concept, the model is based upon the premise that at a point in time a given group of students, possessing a set of institutionally-assigned characteristics distinguishing them as unique from all others, has an associated set of probabilities, which describe their distribution at the next point in time among similar sets of unique categorizations. When suitably classified enrollments at one point in time are provided as input to such a model and multiplied by appropriate sets of probability distributions, the output constitutes a projection of enrollments at the next point in time. (Author)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park. Office of Budget and Planning.