ERIC Number: ED080275
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1971-Aug
Reference Count: N/A
Educational Aspirations: Markov and Poisson Models. Rural Industrial Development Project Working Paper Number 14, August 1971.
Kayser, Brian D.
The fit of educational aspirations of Illinois rural high school youths to 3 related one-parameter mathematical models was investigated. The models used were the continuous-time Markov chain model, the discrete-time Markov chain, and the Poisson distribution. The sample of 635 students responded to questionnaires from 1966 to 1969 as part of an ongoing research on rural industrialization in northern Illinois. The students were drawn from both the experimental and the control area of the study and were grouped as cohorts based on the year of graduation. Educational aspirations over time were treated as separate variables and were cross-tabulated. After the parameter values for each model were computed, data were tested for fit to the model. It was found that the data fit the discrete-time Markov model. The general pattern analysis carried out prior to the model test appeared to coincide with the actual data analysis. (PS)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: National Inst. of Mental Health (DHEW), Bethesda, MD.
Authoring Institution: Wisconsin Univ., Madison. Center of Applied Sociology.
Identifiers - Location: Illinois