ERIC Number: ED078545
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1966-May
Reference Count: 0
Estimating Future School Enrolment in Developing Countries: A Manual of Methodology. Population Studies, No. 40.
Liu, Bangnee Alfred
This manual is designed to provide some help to the educational statistician or equivalent technician who is faced with the task of providing estimates of future school enrollment in a developing country. The author first considers some of the factors determining the growth of school enrollment; needs for estimating future school enrollment; and the characteristics of short-term, medium-term, and long-term estimates. Some of the terms used in connection with estimates of future school enrollment are then defined; the types of basic data needed are specified; and the kinds of methods generally used are explained briefly. Three case studies are presented that estimate future school enrollment in the developing countries of Colombia, the Philippines, and the Sudan. These case studies are intended to illustrate the application and adaptation of certain methods to suit the needs of particular situations. The presentation concludes with some illustrative examples from actual projections of school enrollments taken from published sources in three developed countries -- the United States, New Zealand, and France. (Author/DN)
Descriptors: Case Studies, Data Collection, Developing Nations, Educational Planning, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Trends, Methods, Population Trends, Statistical Analysis, Tables (Data)
UNIPUB, P.O. Box 433, New York, New York 10016 (Sales No. 66. XIII.3, $2.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization, Paris (France).
Note: Also published by UNESCO in the series "Statistical Reports and Studies" (ST/S/10)