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ERIC Number: ED076152
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1973
Pages: 23
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
Predictions of Performance in Career Education.
Novick, M. R.; And Others
Prediction weights for educational programs in 22 vocational and technical fields are provided using ability scores from the American College Testing Program (ACT) Career Planning Profile and a Bayesian regression theory. The criterion variable studies was first-semester grade-point average. Each vocational-technical program analyzed was represented by several institutions, and the usual least-squares regression weights for each institution were replaced by Bayesian weights, which used both the direct information on that institution and the collateral information present in the other institutions offering that program. Very satisfactory predictions were obtained in 18 of the 22 programs: Business and Marketing, Dental Assisting, Registered and Practical Nursing, Other Health, Accounting, Business Administration, Computer Programming, Data Processing, Secretarial Science, Electrical Engineering Technology, Science, Other Technical, Auto Mechanics, Drafting, Machine Work, Other Trades, and Police Science. Largely because of a lack of sufficient data and the heterogeneity of the programs, prediction in four fields were not judged to be satisfactory: Agriculture, Cosmetology, Social Science, and Arts and Humanities. A detailed discussion of the generality of the m-group regression model is provided. A 5-item bibliography and appendix with tables are included. (Author/MJM)
Publication and Information Services Division, The American College Testing Program, P.O. Box 168, Iowa City, Iowa 52240 ($1.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: American Coll. Testing Program, Iowa City, IA. Research and Development Div.