ERIC Number: ED075729
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1972-Sep
Reference Count: 0
Orange County Dropout Prediction Study.
Johnson, Clarence D.; Hopkins, Bobby R.
This longitudinal study was conducted to determine what factors present at the sixth grade level would cause a student to be dropout prone. The specific objectives were: 1.) to ascertain what characteristics are associated with the future school dropout; 2.) to develop a regression equation to assist in the identification of potential future dropouts; 3.) to determine the extent to which school personnel can accurately identify dropout prone sixth grade students; and 4.) to examine the stability of aptitudinal, achievemental, and residential data for both dropout and non-dropout students. A sample was drawn of 2400 sixth grade students. Study results identified such predictive variables as attendance record, citizenship average, academic GPA, as well as teacher's estimate of the pupil's feeling toward authority, assumption of responsibility, playground behavior, and perception of abstract concepts. Findings also suggest that school personnel's informal estimate of dropout potential may be useful in identifying those most and least likely to drop out. References are included. (Author/SES)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Orange County Dept. of Education, Santa Ana, CA.