ERIC Number: ED065984
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1970-Apr
Reference Count: N/A
Some Potential Societal Developments; 1970-2000.
de Brigard, Raul; Helmer, Olaf
Projections about social trends in the U. S., from 1970-2000, made by a panel of 34 experts, are reported in this study. Each respondent was required to respond to a set of questions three times; after the first two times, each respondent was given a summary of answers given by his panel. The resulting concensus was used to make the predictions in the report. Predictions called for continuation of the shift of political power densely populated areas, and expansion of such labor-intensive activities as health, education and housing. The report said the traditional family structure will not change substantially in the next two decades, and added that panelists were sceptical about a major shift of resources away from military and space programs to meet urban needs. Some agreement was reached that the share of total income earned by the poorest quartile of the population will rise, concerted efforts to equalize voter participation will level off, and federal government employment will rise substantially. (MG)
Institute for the Future, Riverview Center, Middletown, Connecticut 06457 ($5.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Institute for the Future, Middletown, CT.