ERIC Number: ED063728
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1971-Sep
Reference Count: N/A
The Future of the Telephone Industry; 1970-1985.
Baran, Paul; Lipinski, Andrew J.
Projections about the growth of the telephone industry from 1970-1985 were made from forecasts of five panels of experts, in five areas: (1) the regulatory environment; (2) changes in U.S. society; (3) existing networks and services; (4) future networks and services; (5) future characteristics of the labor force and employee-management relations. Numerical forecasts were based on medians of the panelists' estimates. The report concluded by 1985 telephone industry revenues will reach $65 billion derived from 220 million telephones, three million picturephones, and eight million data terminals; new to-the-home information services will account for some $15 billion in revenues by 1990. More competition can be expected, with five to thirty new interstate carriers, and maybe four separate domestic special purpose satellite systems and a new nationwide independent data network. The report concluded the telephone industry can expect consumers and employees to be more skeptical about whether the industry is serving the public interest. (MG)
Descriptors: Communications, Information Networks, Telecommunications, Telephone Communications Industry, Telephone Communications Systems, Utilities
Institute for the Future, Riverview Center, Middletown, Connecticut 06457 ($10.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: American Telephone and Telegraph Co., New York, NY.
Authoring Institution: Institute for the Future, Middletown, CT.
Note: A Special Industry Report