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ERIC Number: ED063336
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1972-Apr
Pages: 28
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
The Prediction of Teacher Turnover Employing Time Series Analysis.
Costa, Crist H.
The purpose of this study was to combine knowledge of teacher demographic data with time-series forecasting methods to predict teacher turnover. Moving averages and exponential smoothing were used to forecast discrete time series. The study used data collected from the 22 largest school districts in Iowa, designated as FACT schools. Predictions were made for the 1968-69 school year and then validated with the actual data for that school year. Data were organized into 27 types, which were suggested by a literature review. Results of the study show that teachers with less than four years experience showed the highest amount of turnover, with married women under 30 having the highest rate, unmarried females under 30 being second, married males and unmarried males being third and fourth, respectively. (DB)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Note: Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association (Chicago, Illinois, April 1972)