ERIC Number: ED060183
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: N/A
Reference Count: N/A
Review and Synthesis of Research on Manpower Forecasting for Vocational-Technical Education.
Kidder, David E.
Designed to assist vocational education program planners as well as researchers in making manpower projections, this report attempts to sort out and classify forecasts and their underlying models. In reviewing this subject, major sections of the document were devoted to: (1) The Forecasting Process, (2) Unspecified Techniques, (3) Specified Technological Models, (4) Specified Economic Models, (5) Specified Predictive Models, and (6) Data Availability and Quality. No one model clearly boasts more advantages than any other, and the potential user should weigh the costs and benefits of a particular choice of model. However, the author stated a preference for the Occupational Training Information System (OTIS) approach which, for forecasting at the state level, has definite advantages as a total systems approach. This preference was based on the belief that the OTIS model incorporates components which should make it possible to evaluate the system's total performance and its performance in solving specific problems, particularly those of the disadvantaged worker. (Author/JS)
Descriptors: Bibliographies, Data Analysis, Employment Projections, Labor Needs, Models, Prediction, Program Development, Research Methodology, Research Reviews (Publications), Systems Approach, Technical Education, Vocational Education
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Office of Education (DHEW), Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Ohio State Univ., Columbus. Center for Vocational and Technical Education.