ERIC Number: ED026457
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1967
Reference Count: N/A
Methods of Long-Term Projection of Requirements for and Supply of Qualified Manpower. Statistical Reports and Studies.
Goldstein, Harold; Swerdloff, Sol
A description of methods of making appropriate projections of manpower requirements and supply in an advanced economy in which a substantial part of economic life is not centrally planned, is the special focus of this paper. Some elements of the methods described are equally relevant to sectors of the economy which are planned, but absence of a central plan for some major sectors makes it necessary to use special techniques of projections for these sectors. The projections of supply are written in the context of 'freedom of choice' of individuals in entering training or fields of work. The first major section deals with projections of requirements, including three common methods: surveys of employers' forecasts, simple extrapolation of historical trends in employment and analytical methods. The appropriateness of each technique for different purposes and circumstances and the drawbacks of each are discussed. The second section details the methods of projecting labor supply in specific occupations and methods of projecting total labor supply. Relevant illustrations are employed here. A final section discusses the process of comparing projected demand to projected supply. A 40 item bibliography is included. (ET)
Descriptors: Bibliographies, Developed Nations, Economic Factors, Employment Level, Employment Patterns, Employment Projections, Labor Force, Labor Market, Labor Needs, Labor Supply, Methods, Occupational Surveys, Research Needs
UNESCO Publications Center, 317 East 34th Street, New York, New York 10016 ($1.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Bureau of Labor Statistics (DOL), Washington, DC.; United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization, Paris (France).