ERIC Number: ED025919
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1960-Mar
Reference Count: 0
Methodology of Enrollment Projections for Colleges and Universities.
Lins, L. J.
Various methods by which the responsible officials of colleges and universities might make projections of enrollment for their respective institutions are presented in this report. The point is made that institutional enrollment projection is not a simple assignment. Many factors must be considered, analyzed, and, if possible, controlled in order to do the best job of forecasting. Before making an enrollment projection, each institution should define its aims and purposes in order to identify its long range goals. The enrollment projection techniques include a discussion of--(1) curve fitting, (2) ratio method, (3) cohort-survival method, (4) combined ratio and cohort-usrvival method, and (5) correlation analysis. Short range enrollment estimates for budget purposes and educational planning are discussed as are long range projections based on increasing population. A final chapter presents a brief review of guiding principles to aid the person designing tables or graphs for presentation. A substantial bibliography of books, periodicals, and reports concerned with enrollment projection is included. (NI)
Descriptors: Bibliographies, Campus Planning, Data, Demography, Educational Demand, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Trends, Higher Education, Population Growth
Publications Office, American Council on Education, 1785 Massachusetts Avenue, Washington, D. C. ($2.00)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers, Washington, DC.
Note: Reprinted January, 1964.