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Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
ERIC Number: EJ303182
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 1984
Pages: N/A
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Naive vs. Sophisticated Methods of Forecasting Public Library Circulations.
Brooks, Terrence A.
Library and Information Science Research, An International Journal, v6 n2 p205-14 Apr-Jun 1984
Two sophisticated--autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), straight-line regression--and two naive--simple average, monthly average--forecasting techniques were used to forecast monthly circulation totals of 34 public libraries. Comparisons of forecasts and actual totals revealed that ARIMA and monthly average methods had smallest mean absolute percentage error. (20 references) (EJS)
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Library Circulation, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Public Libraries, Regression (Statistics), Research Methodology, Tables (Data)
Publication Type: Reports - Evaluative; Journal Articles
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Researchers
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A