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50 Years of ERIC
50 Years of ERIC
The Education Resources Information Center (ERIC) is celebrating its 50th Birthday! First opened on May 15th, 1964 ERIC continues the long tradition of ongoing innovation and enhancement.

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Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
ERIC Number: EJ679242
Record Type: CIJE
Publication Date: 2003
Pages: N/A
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0141-1926
What's in a Trend? A Comment on Gray, Goldstein and Thomas (2001), "Predicting the Future: The Role of Past Performance in Determining Trends in Institutional Effectiveness at A Level."
Pugh, Geoff; Mangan, Jean
British Educational Research Journal, v29 n1 p77 82 Feb 2003
Argues that although John Gray, Harvey Goldstein, and Sally Thomas treat the notion of trend in an unproblematic manner, as deterministic time trends, movements in data identified by Gray as school improvement trends may not be generated by the deterministic processes they assume. Opines these upward and downward movements may reflect a purely stochastic process. (BT)
Descriptors: Educational Trends, Elementary Secondary Education, Foreign Countries, Prediction, School Effectiveness
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: Advanced Level Examinations; England
Note: The British Educational Research Journal is a refereed journal.