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Direct linkNavarro, Daniel J.; Dry, Matthew J.; Lee, Michael D. – Cognitive Science, 2012
Inductive generalization, where people go beyond the data provided, is a basic cognitive capability, and it underpins theoretical accounts of learning, categorization, and decision making. To complete the inductive leap needed for generalization, people must make a key "sampling" assumption about how the available data were generated. Previous…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Generalization, Sampling, Learning
Yi, Sheng Kung Michael; Steyvers, Mark; Lee, Michael D.; Dry, Matthew J. – Cognitive Science, 2012
The "wisdom of the crowd" phenomenon refers to the finding that the aggregate of a set of proposed solutions from a group of individuals performs better than the majority of individual solutions. Most often, wisdom of the crowd effects have been investigated for problems that require single numerical estimates. We investigate whether the effect…
Descriptors: Problem Solving, Epistemology, Group Experience, High Achievement
Lee, Michael D.; Dry, Matthew J. – Cognitive Science, 2006
We study human decision making in a simple forced-choice task that manipulates the frequency and accuracy of available information. Empirically, we find that people make decisions consistent with the advice provided, but that their subjective confidence in their decisions shows 2 interesting properties. First, people's confidence does not depend…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Self Esteem, Models, Thinking Skills
