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ERIC Number: EJ1032757
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2014
Pages: 11
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-1380-3611
EISSN: N/A
Estimation of Error Components in Cohort Studies: A Cross-Cohort Analysis of Dutch Mathematics Achievement
Keuning, Jos; Hemker, Bas
Educational Research and Evaluation, v20 n3 p199-209 2014
The data collection of a cohort study requires making many decisions. Each decision may introduce error in the statistical analyses conducted later on. In the present study, a procedure was developed for estimation of the error made due to the composition of the sample, the item selection procedure, and the test equating process. The math results for 15-year-olds in the Dutch cohort study COOL[superscript 5-18] were used to illustrate how to account for the different sources of error in a cross-cohort analysis. Results showed the error variances to be severely underestimated if they were calculated under the common assumption of a simple random sample. The impact of ignoring error variance clearly manifested when the students' mathematical achievements were examined. Whereas analyses under the assumption of a simple random sample resulted in a significant downward trend in achievement, alternative analyses showed this conclusion not to be solidly supported by the data.
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Secondary Education; High Schools
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Netherlands
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A