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ERIC Number: EJ839793
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2009-Mar
Pages: 8
Abstractor: ERIC
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0037-7732
EISSN: N/A
Comment: Distinguishing Cohort Effects from Age*Period Effects on Non-Marital Fertility
Martin, Steve
Social Forces, v87 n3 p1481-1488 Mar 2009
In the article "Cohort Effects on Non-marital Fertility," in this issue of "Social Forces," Jean Stockard employs a novel strategy for disentangling cohort, period, and age effects on the non-marital fertility ratio. In a model with fixed-effect controls for age and for time period, the author documents evidence for three cohort-specific factors affecting the non-marital birth ratio of a given cohort ages 20-44. The first is the non-marital birth ratio at the time a cohort is born. The second is the cohort percent enrolled in school at ages 18-21. The third is the cohort sex ratio at ages 20-24. In models for non-Hispanic whites, two of these cohort variables have statistically significant coefficients, and in models for non-Hispanic blacks, all three variables have statistically significant coefficients. In this comment, the author begins by describing the cohort effect on non-marital birth ratios as it is described by Stockard. Then he explains how the same observed pattern could arise from an age-period interaction. Finally, he offers two arguments that would favor the age-period interpretation over the cohort interpretation. He limits his analysis to the results for non-Hispanic whites; results for non-Hispanic blacks and their interpretation are generally analogous to the results and interpretation for non-Hispanic whites. (Contains 1 table and 4 figures.)
University of North Carolina Press. 116 South Boundary Street, P.O. Box 2288, Chapel Hill, NC 27515-2288. Tel: 800-848-6224; Tel: 919-966-7449; Fax: 919-962-2704; e-mail: uncpress@unc.edu; Web site: http://uncpress.unc.edu/
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Opinion Papers; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A