ERIC Number: ED373633
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1994-May
Reference Count: N/A
Meandering Ways: Studying Student Stopout with Survival Analysis. AIR 1994 Annual Forum Paper.
Ronco, Sharron L.
This study applied newly-developed methods of survival analysis with repeated events to a longitudinal data set in order to illustrate stopout hazards for college students. Survival analysis incorporates cases of students returning to college and not yet returning to college in a single analysis. This study applied a multiple-spell survival analysis to stopout data on a cohort of first-time entering freshmen in fall 1983 at University of Texas at El Paso for 20 terms through Spring, 1993. Spells were defined as "enrolled" or "not enrolled." Data collection ended either when the student received a first baccalaureate degree or in spring, 1993. Results found that students' greatest risk of leaving was after the second term of enrollment. Hazard again peaked after the fourth term, then leveled off after the sixth term. Students who left were more likely to return after only one or two terms out. Once they had been gone for six terms, the odds of returning were virtually nil. Return enrollment and stopout spells share basically the same shape as initial spells. Hispanic students were 1.7 times more likely than White non-Hispanic students to return to the institution after a stopout period. (Contains 20 references.) (JB)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: AIR Forum; Survival Ratio Models; University of Texas El Paso
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (34th, New Orleans, LA, May 29-June 1 1994).