In recent months the idea of a single national test seems to have lost some of its momentum, while use of national standards to which voluntary regional or state tests would be indexed seems to have gained support. Nationally, there does not seem to be any organized attempt to fuse the national education goals into the state process beyond the ceremonial announcement about America 2000. Three possible scenarios for federal action with regard to a national test are: (1) a Republican win in November and a new push for a national test; (2) a redirection of energy into national standards, allowing states to develop the tests; and (3) development of a program of national goals and standards by using ideas from successful state activity. Surveys of state testing activities demonstrate that the current national picture is very complex. Possible scenarios for state action include a move toward more local assessment decisions or, on the other hand, a renewed effort to reach out for federal help by anticipating a national test. It is also possible that neither of the above would happen, and that traditional models would change very little. The future is not clear concerning national testing. (SLD)