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ERIC Number: ED245394
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1984-Jul
Pages: 18
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
Putting Educational Forecasts into Perspective: A Guide for Decisionmakers.
Dede, Christopher; Kierstead, Fred
This paper focuses on how educational decision-makers can make use of futures research through a better understanding of forecasters' perspectives. Eight problems in communicating that are significant in contributing to poor usage of forecasts by educational decision-makers are: (1) overuse of jargon, (2) preoccupation with technological solutions, (3) ethnocentric perspectives, (4) use of narrow databases, (5) ignoring normative issues, (6) overemphasizing prediction, (7) preoccupation with internal trends, and (8) tempocentrism. The types of miscommunication prevalent in recent United States education-related forecasting are discussed; four specific publications are cited. Preoccupation with internal trends is the most prevalent type of miscommunication found in these publications, and next is the ignoring of normative issues. Other significant problems include an overemphasis on prediction, tempocentrism, and factors internal to education while ignoring significant external issues. Strategies offered for decision-makers and forecasters to follow in improving forecasting techniques in education include: use of plain language, envisioning of social inventions, generalizing forecast interpretations, widening databases, minimizing temporal restrictions, avoiding ethnocentrism and tempocentrism, and building networks. (MD)
Publication Type: Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Researchers; Policymakers
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: N/A