ERIC Number: ED242806
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1983
Reference Count: 0
Nonmetropolitan Growth in the Late 1970's: The End of the Turnaround? CDE Working Paper 83-20.
The objective of this paper is to examine possible changes in the extent of the turnaround in growth patterns between metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas throughout the 1970s. Comparisons of trends in both kinds of areas are made across three time periods: 1970-74, 1974-77, and 1977-80. Data used in the analysis are from a special file of intercensal county estimates prepared by the Census Bureau. The most important finding is that the turnaround from negative to positive net migration in nonmetropolitan areas was sustained throughout the 1970s. Nevertheless, there was a slowdown in the growth of nonmetropolitan areas in the late 1970s. An even sharper decline was found for nonmetropolitan net migration rates, as natural increase returned to its traditional position as the most important component of nonmetropolitan growth. Although this could be taken as proof that the turnaround has ended, the overall evidence is stronger that the validity of the turnaround and the slowdown in nonmetropolitan growth by the end of the decade may be incorporated into new theories of urban-rural migration which see a tendency toward balance in the interchange between metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas. (CMG)
Descriptors: Migration Patterns, Population Trends, Rural to Urban Migration, Trend Analysis, Urban to Rural Migration
Center for Demography, University of Wisconsin, Social Science Building, Madison, WI 53706 (free).
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Wisconsin Univ., Madison. Coll. of Agricultural and Life Sciences.; National Inst. of Child Health and Human Development (NIH), Bethesda, MD. Center for Population Research.; Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
Authoring Institution: Wisconsin Univ., Madison. Center for Demography and Ecology.
Note: Revised version of a paper presented at the annual meetings of the Population Association of America (Pittsburg, PA, April 15, 1983).