ERIC Number: ED241083
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1983-Jun
Reference Count: 0
Demograhic Trends in Missouri's Population and Enrollment Trends and Projections: Master Plan III Assessment Project Report Number Three.
Missouri State Coordinating Board for Higher Education, Jefferson City.
Part of an effort to evaluate the 1978 Missouri State Master Plan for Higher Education, this report reexamines the enrollment projections contained in the plan to determine whether those projections are adequate to serve as a basis for statewide higher education planning efforts for the remainder of the 1980s and the early 1990s. The first section of the report describes recent demographic trends related to college enrollments. This analysis indicates that, while the number of young people who will be entering the traditional college-age cohort will decline by over 23% statewide, the change will not be uniform across subregions and will have a differential effect on specific institutions. In addition, the report indicates that changes in the racial mix of the traditional college-age cohort will affect high school graduation and college attendance rates, as will the trend of more rapid growth in the rural population of the state. The next section of the report focuses on enrollment projections, first describing the assumptions used and then reporting a projected statewide enrollment for 1993 that would be 21.5% below that of 1981. A comparison of master plan projections to actual 1980 enrollments and revised projections for 1985 and 1990 conclude the report. (LAL)
Publication Type: Reports - Descriptive; Numerical/Quantitative Data
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Missouri State Coordinating Board for Higher Education, Jefferson City.