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ERIC Number: ED240926
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1983
Pages: 52
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
UW-Madison's Enrollment Prospects for the 1980s and Early 1990s.
Tesfagiorgis, Gebre; Casey, Martha
Enrollment patterns for the University of Wisconsin, Madison, for the period 1983-1995 are projected. Three possible scenarios, each representing a different set of assumptions concerning factors that affect undergraduate enrollment, are presented. The projections are based on demographic and secondary school enrollment data, and on historical patterns in the institution's enrollment. The cohort-survival technique was employed. It is projected that the university's undergraduate enrollment will probably decline slowly over the next 10 to 12 years and then begin to increase again. The decline is smaller than would be expected by Wisconsin demographics and is built on the assumption that the proportion of 18-year-olds who attend the university will continue to increase, and that the nonresident undergraduate enrollment and nontraditional age enrollment will remain constant or increase. The use of more optimistic assumptions regarding the enrollment of women, minorities, nonresident students and older students projects an even smaller decline. Patterns in the enrollments of these subgroups are examined in detail. Graduate enrollment is projected to remain at approximately the current level. Statistics for projected enrollments are appended. (Author/SW)
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: Scenarios; University of Wisconsin Madison