ERIC Number: ED232562
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1983-May
Reference Count: 0
A Model Simulating the Impact of Reagan's Student Financial Aid Proposals on the Institution. AIR 1983 Annual Forum Paper.
Porter, John D.; Matt, Joseph J.
A model was developed at Arizona State University (ASU) to simulate the effect of President Reagan's proposed 1983 cuts in student financial aid in terms of programs and student credit hour load. The model allows administrators to simulate the impact on various student groups. The analysis involved 3,141 full-time undergraduates with financial aid program packages. Students were aggregated into the following groups: students with less than 20 percent loss in aid, students with an aid loss of 20-29 percent, and students with a 30 percent or higher loss. It was assumed that students with 30 percent or more loss would terminate enrollment, while the middle group would be at risk, and the group with less than 20 percent aid loss would probably survive. It was found that 12.5 percent of the study population would probably not continue at the university, 21.4 percent would be at risk, and 66.1 would probably continue. The Reagan proposal seems to affect minority groups unevenly at ASU. More Asian Pacific, Hispanic, and Black students were identified as at risk than were American Native and White students. In addition, more resident students were at risk. Programs and student credit hours in liberal arts, business, engineering, and education were most affected by the proposed cuts. (SW)
Descriptors: Academic Persistence, College Programs, Federal Aid, Financial Needs, Full Time Students, Government School Relationship, Higher Education, Institutional Research, Minority Groups, Models, Potential Dropouts, Public Policy, Retrenchment, Simulation, Student Attrition, Student Financial Aid, Undergraduate Students
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: AIR Forum; Arizona State University; Reagan Administration; Student Course Load
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (Toronto, Ontario, May 23-26, 1983).