ERIC Number: ED230153
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1981
Reference Count: 0
First-Quarter Academic Performance. Indicators as Predictors of College Attrition: A Study of the 1976-1980 Class at Central State University.
The validity of students' first-quarter academic performance in predicting attrition at Central State University, Ohio, was investigated. It was hypothesized that freshmen who performed satisfactorily during the first quarter were more likely to complete their baccalaureate programs than were those who performed less well. Data on 287 students were collected on grade point average (GPA) and grades in English and mathematics. It was found that approximately 51 percent of entering freshmen in the 1976 class dropped out before graduation. GPA was the single most significant predictor of attrition, accounting for about 24 percent of the variance. Inclusion of students' first-quarter English grade further increased the accuracy of prediction by two percent. It is concluded that GPA and English grade for the first quarter can be used to predict fairly accurately whether Central State University students are likely to persist until graduation. (SW)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: Central State University OH
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association (Montreal, Canada, April 11-15, 1983).