ERIC Number: ED224393
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1982-Jul
Reference Count: 0
Fall Headcount Enrollment Forecasts to 1995: Texas Institutions of Higher Education. Study Paper 27, Revised.
Texas Coll. and Univ. System, Austin. Coordinating Board.
Revised forecasts of fall headcount enrollments to 1995 for Texas higher education institutions are presented, based on 1980 census data. The revised forecasts are based on a combination of historical college attendance patterns by county and projected population for each county of the state. It is projected that enrollment in Texas institutions will grow at an average annual rate of about 1.3 percent, that enrollment will increase by about 86,000 students between 1980-1990, reaching a total of 761,563 during the period. By 1995 the total enrollment in all higher education institutions is expected to be slightly more than 798,000. Enrollment forecasts for 1985, 1990, and 1995 by type of institution are presented. Overall enrollment in the public senior colleges and universities will increase at an average annual rate of approximately 1 percent during the current decade, reaching an enrollment of 371,954 in 1990. Enrollment in the public community junior colleges will reach 294,016 in 1990, an increase of 42,940 students over 1980 enrollment. This represents an average annual increase of about 1.7 percent. The growth patterns for both senior institutions and community junior colleges during this period are attributable to the projected fluctuations in the state's demographic structure and the age makeup of the students. Enrollment forecasts for the 37 public senior colleges and universities are presented, including the magnitude and percentage of change for 5- to 10-year intervals. By 1990, 10 of these institutions are predicted to experience some enrollment loss below the fall 1980 level. Information on the forecasting methodology is appended. (SW)
Descriptors: Age Groups, College Attendance, College Students, Community Colleges, Enrollment Projections, Higher Education, Institutional Characteristics, Population Trends, Private Colleges, State Colleges, State Surveys, Technical Institutes, Trend Analysis, Upper Division Colleges
Coordinating Board, Texas College and University System, P.O. Box 12788, Capitol Station, Austin, TX 78711.
Publication Type: Numerical/Quantitative Data
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Texas Coll. and Univ. System, Austin. Coordinating Board.