ERIC Number: ED223965
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1981-Oct-13
Reference Count: 0
An Approach to the Modeling of Long-Range Stability in Marital Dyads: The Use of Computer Simulation Methodology. Preliminary Draft.
Denker, Martin W.; And Others
Researchers are now attempting to improve techniques for studying stable behavior patterns in family systems over long periods of time, e.g., the marital dyad across several levels of function and dysfunction covering time periods of months to years. One approach to improving this research design is based on the assumptions that longitudinal studies will be improved if the expected time course of the behavior patterns can be forecast in advance, and that computer simulation is one of the best technical approaches available for problems in long-range forecasting. System Dynamics, a computer simulation approach that is designed to deal with behavior patterns of complex systems over extended time periods (even when those patterns involve relatively severe nonlinearities), was used to develop a model for dyadic interaction. The forecasting of behavior patterns in a marital dyad began from a mathematical model of the dyad, which contained two "individuals," each represented by a mathematical model of personality function and a linking equation describing how each "individual" was influenced by behavior changes in the other "individual." Data analyses of the simulation model supported the hypothesis that, assuming the validity of the Freudian model of individual personality function and the accuracy of its translation into a mathematical model, equations exist that link two "individuals" in such a way as to produce equilibrium for both "individuals," even when neither "individual" model will tend to equilibrium, given the same starting conditions, without being linked in a dyad. Further investigation of this approach is needed. (HLM)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: National Inst. of Mental Health (DHHS), Bethesda, MD.
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: System Dynamics
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the National Council on Family Relations (Milwaukee, WI, October 13-17, 1981). Figures 2-10 are not filmed due to small print size.