ERIC Number: ED203806
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1981-Mar
Reference Count: 0
Predicting College Graduation for Black and White Freshman Applicants. ASHE Annual Meeting 1981 Paper.
Sanford, Timothy R.
The usefulness of equations to predict graduation from college was studied using data from the 1974 freshman class of a major research university. The following predictor variables were assessed using multiple regression and discriminant analyses: sex, race, residency, major, high school rank, high school size, Scholastic Aptitide Test scores, and predicted grade point average. The percentage of variance that was explained was 14.4 percent for blacks, 4.9 precent for whites, and 7.4 percent for blacks and whites. Discriminant analyses yielded correct predictions for 64.5 percent of the blacks, 57.65 percent of the whites, and 64.78 percent of both races. It is concluded that while the results are not impressive, they do support the need for continued research in the area. (Author/SW)
Descriptors: Academic Persistence, Black Students, College Admission, College Applicants, College Freshmen, College Graduates, Comparative Analysis, Discriminant Analysis, Graduation, Higher Education, Institutional Research, Multiple Regression Analysis, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, School Holding Power, Success, Whites
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: ASHE Annual Meeting
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Higher Education (Washington, DC, March 3-4, 1981).