ERIC Number: ED197462
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1978-Sep
Reference Count: 0
The Future for Teacher Education in Ontario. Simulation Experiments to Examine the Impact of Environmental Factors and Policy Decisions on Ontario Teacher Education Institutions 1978-2002.
Hansen Group, Mississauga, Ontario.
A summary of issues and options in the supply of and demand for teacher education provides the background for this study. The FLEXOR* Teacher Education Analytical Model is used to examine the effects of environmental factors and policy decisions on Ontario's teacher training institutions in the next 20 years. The simulation models utilize such variables as the ratio of students enrolled to graduates hired, the inservice training proportion, the student/faculty ratio, faculty turnover rates, average faculty salary, yearly operating cost changes, inservice/preservice cost ratio, cost per student, and cost per graduate hired. The simulations indicate that 1980-84 represents a low phase of cyclic activity and is, consequently, inappropriate for use in planning for allocation of resources. The data for 1986-87 provide more reasonable target values for planning purposes. The authors recommend that careful study precede any consideration of school closure. The long term simulation model suggests that the percentage of new teachers hired will maintain vitality in the teaching force and provide opportunities for new, young teachers. (Author/WD)
Descriptors: Declining Enrollment, Employment Projections, Enrollment Projections, Expenditure per Student, Foreign Countries, Higher Education, Inservice Teacher Education, Preservice Teacher Education, Schools of Education, Simulation, Student Teacher Ratio, Teacher Education, Teacher Supply and Demand, Trend Analysis
Publications Centre, Ministry of Government Services, 880 Bay St., 5th Floor, Queen's Park, Toronto, Ontario M7A 1N8 Canada (Record No. ON01444/CODE00313; $.50 microfiche).
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Commission on Declining School Enrolments in Ontario, Toronto.
Authoring Institution: Hansen Group, Mississauga, Ontario.
Note: Some paragraphs may not reproduce clearly due to broken print of original document. For related documents, see EA 013 260-308.