ERIC Number: ED189945
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1980-Apr
Reference Count: 0
A "Training Opportunities" Model for Predicting Advanced Degrees in the Sciences. AIR Forum 1980 Paper.
Muffo, John A.
The use of a modified training opportunities approach for predicting the number of graduate enrollments and degrees at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign is considered. Data concerning graduate assistantships and faculty staffing levels were used to predict, with a high level of accuracy, the number of graduate enrollments and degrees. Predictions were based on the multiple regression technique. Possible impacts upon institutional, regional, and national policy are discussed, as are the other major theories of graduate manpower planning: the market, demographic, and credentialist approaches. From a theoretical perspective the study tends to support the notion that the training opportunities approach can be used as a proxy for the demographic, market, and credentialist approaches in analyzing scientific manpower supply and demand. The basic assumption of the approach was that the availability of financial aid to students in scientific fields, as well as the faculty staffing levels in those same fields, ought to serve as a useful predictor of enrollments and degrees produced. (Author/SW)
Descriptors: College Faculty, Degrees (Academic), Educational Demand, Educational Policy, Employment Patterns, Enrollment Projections, Fellowships, Graduate Students, Higher Education, Labor Market, Labor Needs, Multiple Regression Analysis, Predictor Variables, Sciences, Student Financial Aid, Teaching Assistants, Theories
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Speeches/Meeting Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: AIR Forum 1980; University of Illinois Urbana Champaign
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (20th, Atlanta, GA, April 27-May 1, 1980).