ERIC Number: ED176646
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1978-Dec
Reference Count: 0
The Coming Obsolescence. A Scenario for Residential Colleges.
Dunn, Samuel L.
Fundamental changes that will affect American higher education during the next 20 years are discussed with specific reference to residential colleges. It is suggested that many traditional residential colleges will have difficulty meeting the challenges of a changing society and will be forced to close their doors. The development and adoption of external degree programs, technological developments, lowered public expectations about a college education, economic factors, and social change will all affect the future of these colleges. Several examples of external degree programs (EDP) and changing patterns of college attendance throughout the history of higher education are described. Technological developments that allow students to obtain a college degree without going away to college are also described. The increase of short term career development courses and lifelong learning will also exert a major impact on higher education as well as the increasing cost of maintaining a traditional educational establishment and changes in demographics and laws in the United States. It is projected that for these and other reasons 25 percent of today's liberal arts colleges will be closed within 20 years. The most important requirement for survival is the willingness of the residential institutions to change to meet the challenges of the future. (SF)
Descriptors: Change Strategies, College Role, College Students, Commuter Colleges, Computers, Economic Change, Educational Change, Educational Economics, Educational Technology, Enrollment Trends, Essays, External Degree Programs, Futures (of Society), Higher Education, Liberal Arts, Lifelong Learning, Nontraditional Education, Nontraditional Students, Open Education, Private Colleges, Public Opinion, Relevance (Education), Residential Colleges, Student Costs, Undergraduate Study
Publication Type: Opinion Papers
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Note: Adapted from a speech presented at the World Future Society conference (Houston, Texas, October 21, 1978)