ERIC Number: ED174113
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1979-May
Reference Count: 0
Departmental Enrollment Projection Model. AIR Forum 1979 Paper.
Toporovsky, R. H.
The Departmental Enrollment Projection Model (DEPM), which is based on the assumption that enrollments are essentially influenced by economic and social forces, is described. Under the model's approach, the department, rather than the institution as a whole, is seen as the focal point of both the enrollment projection and, by implication, the planning strategies. The pool of students individual departments are now concerned with is that of potential students, in the relevant higher-education region, contemplating formal training. Quality of education, placement prospects, and relative tuition are factors which can now be directly related to enrollment and controlled in the attainment of institutional and departmental goals. Labor market and education market factors form the economic foundations of the model. The current version of the DEPM has been developed as a recursive system of four behavioral, one trend, and one policy or control equations for each program or department of instruction. Restrictively, each department's direct enrollments are assumed to be independent from the other departments. Equations used in the model are presented and discussed. The data concepts and sources of information used in the model are summarized. The effect of specification, exogenous variables, and policy variations are also described. (SC)
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Descriptive
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: AIR Forum 1979; Department Enrollment Projection Model
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (19th, San Diego, California, May 13-17, 1979); Figures on two pages may not reproduce well