ERIC Number: ED166194
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1977-Aug
Reference Count: 0
A Mathematical Model to Examine Background Variables and Events which Predict Performance on NBME Tests. Technical Report No. 18.
Wysocki, James C.
The performance of the University of Arizona College of Medicine's graduating class of 1976 on the National Board of Medical Examiners (NBME) Parts I and II was analyzed in a structural equation model. Although the primary emphasis of this paper is toward model development, the effects of several background and demographic variables such as age, sex, socioeconomic and marital status were estimated, together with those of several major events in these students' medical school careers. About half of the variance in NMBE I total score could be explained with knowledge of overall undergraduate Grade Point Average (GPA), Medical College Admissions Tests (MCAT) scores, and the students' sex. Over 85% of the variance in NMBE II total score could be explained using the variables shown in the structural equation model. NMBE I performance did not greatly affect NMBE II performance when other variables were included. The methodological techniques used to isolate the effects of these variables can be applied to many other analyses in health professions education. ( Author/CTM)
Descriptors: Critical Path Method, Grade Point Average, Higher Education, Mathematical Models, Medical Students, Multiple Regression Analysis, Performance Factors, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Sex Differences, Standardized Tests, Student Characteristics
Office of Medical Education, University of Arizona, Health Sciences Campus, Tuscon, Arizona 85724 (free while supplies last)
Publication Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Arizona Univ., Tucson. Coll. of Medicine.
Identifiers: Medical College Admission Test; National Board of Medical Examiners Examination
Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association (62nd, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, March 27-31, 1978) ; Report prepared by the Office of Medical Education